NASA increases risk level of Asteroid 2024 YR4, likely to hit earth in 2032
The exact size of 2024 YR4 remains uncertain, but NASA estimates it to be between 130 and 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) in diameter.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 has captured the attention of space scientists and the public due to concerns about a potential impact with Earth in 2032. With a predicted close approach on December 22, 2032, many are questioning the actual risk posed by this space rock. While NASA has acknowledged the asteroid’s unusual trajectory, experts assure that the chances of a collision remain low.
How big is asteroid 2024 YR4?
The exact size of 2024 YR4 remains uncertain, but NASA estimates it to be between 130 and 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) in diameter, based on its brightness. The true size and composition will become clearer with further observations, particularly infrared scans and upcoming studies with advanced telescopes.
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Where is 2024 YR4 now?
As of January 31, 2024, the asteroid was 48 million kilometers (30 million miles) from Earth, moving farther away in its orbit around the Sun. Given this distance, there is no immediate cause for concern. However, scientists are closely monitoring its trajectory to refine impact probability estimates.
Will it hit Earth in 2032?
NASA initially estimated a 1.2% chance of impact, which was later adjusted to 2.3%—still a very low probability. This means that out of every 43 times the asteroid crosses Earth’s orbit, only one path could lead to a collision. NASA reassures that no other known large asteroid has a higher than 1% chance of impact, making 2024 YR4 a rare case but not an immediate danger.
